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Title: Assessing Lebanon's wildfire potential in association with current and future climatic conditions
Authors: Mitri, George 
Jazi, Mireille
McWethy, David
Affiliations: Institute of Environment 
Keywords: Wildfire potential
Downscaled global climate models
Keetch-Byram Drought Index
Subjects: Climate changes
Issue Date: 2015
Publisher: Rocky Mountain Research Station
Part of: Proceedings of the large wildland fires conference
Start page: 318
End page: 321
Conference: Large wildland fires conference (19-23 May 2014 : Missoula) 
The increasing occurrence and extent of large-scale wildfires in the Mediterranean have been linked to extended periods of warm and dry weather. We set out to assess Lebanon's wildfire potential in association with current and future climatic conditions. The Keetch-Byram Drought Index (KBDI) was the primary climate variable used in our evaluation of climate/fire interactions and conditions. A comparison between the average monthly values (2006-2010) of the Fire Weather Index (FWI) for Eastern Mediterranean and the monthly KBDI average values for Lebanon showed a strong correlation, indicating wildfire potential has increased during the fire season (March through September). The comparison between the relative areas of current and future wildfire potentials showed a significant increase in KBDI values (more than 50) affecting a total area of 1143 km2 (441.3 sq mi).
Open URL: Link to full text
Type: Conference Paper
Appears in Collections:Institute of Environment

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