Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://scholarhub.balamand.edu.lb/handle/uob/7739
Title: Time risk analysis in architectural design : a case study of THP architects' international projects
Authors: Naghi, Ania
Advisors: Semaan, Nabil 
Keywords: Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP), Design Contracts, Linear Regression, Risk Factors, Risk Management, Time Overrun, Time Risk Index (TRI).
Subjects: University of Balamand--Dissertations
Dissertations, Academic
Issue Date: 2024
Publisher: [Kalhat, Lebanon] : [University of Balamand], 2024
Abstract: 
The construction landscape is incredibly vulnerable to risks that can affect the successful
implementation of projects. Particularly, the preconstruction stage sets the foundation for the
project, with the design process accounting for more than 75% of the overall project cost. As
such, it is imperative to effectively and efficiently assess, manage, and mitigate risks during
this stage to ensure the timely completion of the project.
In this paper, a Lebanese architectural firm based in Beirut, Tony Haddad + Partners - THP
Architect, was used as a case study in order to investigate the major risk factors that lead to
time overruns of international architectural design projects. Intrinsically, eighteen risk factors
have been identified and categorized as: (1) external risks, (2) design process risks, and (3)
client-related risks. The likelihood, impact, and weight of each risk on the schedule of
projects was assessed based on the analysis of historical and past data from the firm. This was
complemented by professional opinion and brainstorming sessions. The time risk index (TRI)
for each factor, which provides a systematic indication of its impact on project timeframes,
was determined by applying analytical methods, including regression analysis and principles
of the analytical hierarchy process (AHP).
Results showed that the main factors for time overruns of design projects are essentially
client-related, including excessive modifications in the scope of work and delayed approvals.
Furthermore, poor communication among project parties, increasing size and complexity of
designs, as well as external and economic variables such as the COVID-19 pandemic and
inflation further cause projet delays and impede its implementation. The risk “early contract
termination (ECT)” could not be quantified in spite of its importance and frequency of
occurrence, thus needing additional future research because of its special characteristics and
measurement difficulty.
Finally, a customized time risk analysis model was developed with the aim to prioritize risks,
increase workflow efficiency, and improve client involvement in the project. Essentially, this
model focuses on the development of effective risk stragegies for architectural design
projects by providing practical insights for preventing project delays and building resilience
Description: 
Includes bibliographical references (p. 61-67)
URI: https://scholarhub.balamand.edu.lb/handle/uob/7739
Rights: This object is protected by copyright, and is made available here for research and educational purposes. Permission to reuse, publish, or reproduce the object beyond the personal and educational use exceptions must be obtained from the copyright holder
Ezproxy URL: Link to full text
Type: Project
Appears in Collections:UOB Theses and Projects

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