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dc.contributor.advisorMitri, Georgeen_US
dc.contributor.authorMahfouz, Peter Elieen_US
dc.descriptionIncludes bibliographical references (p.60-65).en_US
dc.descriptionThesis supervised by Dr. George Mitri.en_US
dc.description.abstractTemperatures in Lebanon are projected to rise 4°C by the end of the 21st century, reaching unprecedented levels. Also, it has been projected that rainfall will be reduced by 10-20% by 2040 and between 25-50% by 2098. Consequently, Lebanon will be facing an increased risk of drought conditions. In this context, investigating proper drought indices for Lebanon is expected to help in improved policies and strategies to limit the socioeconomic and environmental impact of drought in Lebanon. Accordingly, the aim of this study was to evaluate drought conditions in Lebanon by investigating relevant climatebased drought indices. The specific objectives were to 1) review and identify a number of climate-based drought indices for use in Lebanon, 2) assess the spatial and temporal variation of current and future drought conditions in Lebanon, 3) evaluate the performance of calculated drought indices by employing data of fire occurrence and extent of burned areas, and 4) investigate the spatial distribution of future drought conditions in comparison to the existing Land Cover/Land Use map of Lebanon. Consequently, three drought indices were investigated. These included the KeetchByram Drought Index (KBDI), the Standard Precipitation Index (SPI), and Deciles. The KBDI was evaluated for all Lebanon; while the SPI and Deciles were calculated only for four locations (Mrah El Abed, Bazouriye, Kfarhay, and Bmahray). The main findings of the results showed that Lebanons natural environment is affected by an increasing trend of drought conditions. The evaluation of results showed high correlations of drought indices with fire data (number of fires and extent of burned area), and large forested areas being affected by increased drought conditions.en_US
dc.description.statementofresponsibilityBy Peter Elie Mahfouzen_US
dc.format.extentxi, 69 p. :ill., tables ;30 cmen_US
dc.rightsThis object is protected by copyright, and is made available here for research and educational purposes. Permission to reuse, publish, or reproduce the object beyond the personal and educational use exceptions must be obtained from the copyright holderen_US
dc.subject.lcshWeather forecasting--Lebanonen_US
dc.subject.lcshRain and rainfall--Lebanonen_US
dc.subject.lcshDrought forecasting--Lebanonen_US
dc.titleMonitoring drought conditions in Lebanon using climate-based indicesen_US
dc.contributor.departmentDepartment of Environmental Sciencesen_US
dc.contributor.facultyFaculty of Arts and Sciencesen_US
dc.contributor.institutionUniversity of Balamanden_US
dc.description.degreeMSc in Environmental Sciencesen_US
Appears in Collections:UOB Theses and Projects
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